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Brunson tires himself out even when he has success with his wrestling, and he tends to look exhausted when his opponents can scramble back to their feet. He looked like he could go out from one clean exchange. The question is whether Brunson can wrestle Cannonier successfully for at least 10 minutes and survive the final frame. Relative to his recent opponents, this seems like a far more difficult task.
I still expect Brunson to drag Cannonier to the mat early at least once or twice. Conversely, Cannonier is very active from the bottom. Given his raw strength at this weight class — like Derrick Lewis at heavyweight — he can just stand up from the bottom position and chuck opponents off of him. While Brunson carries a ton of power in his left hand, Cannonier is the far more efficient and diverse striker.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this fight or where the most value lies, and is where we would put some of our bankroll behind. Strickland Despite coming in on a winning streak, Strickland hasn't really faced top competition since he lost by unanimous decision to Kamaru Usman in It's been a long time since he's faced an opponent with Hermansson's diverse skillset but he does match up very well with him. Strickland is the more accurate striker with crisper hands and better defense.
He's also a pressure fighter, while Hermansson has a history of struggling on the back foot. Hermansson will need to implement his grappling and ground-and-pound if he wants to win this fight, but that won't be easy. Even Usman only managed to take him down twice on eight attempts.
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