Round 21 afl betting odds
AFL Round 21 Betting Tips · Hawthorn vs. Gold Coast. Hawthorn have won three of their last four and they have won 9 out of the last 10 as the. Our tipsters will help you find the best bets for the upcoming AFL round. AFL Round 21 Betting Predictions Round 21 is highlighted. AFL Odds for Round 21 · Melbourne () vs. Collingwood () · Hawthorn () vs. Gold Coast () · GWS Giants () vs. Essendon (). SLAM DUNK FOREX REVIEW
GWS have gone when installed as the home favourite against Essendon and when installed as the home underdog. I would back Essendon in the head-to-head at 1. Western Bulldogs vs. Fremantle This is another fixture that bookmakers have a good track record of predicting. Over the last decade the Western Bulldogs have gone as the home favourite against Fremantle and as the home underdog.
The Western Bulldogs have won their last three home games while Fremantle are winless in their last three fixtures. The Dogs covered the line in their last four home fixtures against the Dockers and they have gone both in the head-to-head and the line at Marvel Stadium this year. I would back the Western Bulldogs in the head-to-head at 1.
Brisbane vs. Carlton Brisbane suffered an away defeat to Richmond last week but the Lions have gone on the back of a defeat over the last twelve months. The Lions have gone at home over the last twelve months and they have won six consecutive home games against Carlton. Brisbane have also gone at the line against Carlton in their last seven meetings as the host. The Saints have hardly looked up to the challenge against any team inside the Top 8 this year, but now they face not only one of the most ferocious teams when it comes to pressure and clearances, but also one of the best fourth quarter sides in the competition.
And, of course, it should also result in a pretty nasty Friday night blowout. Normally by this point in the season, Hawthorn and Geelong sit somewhere toward the Top 4, and although the Hawks find themselves fifth on the ladder, this might be the Cats last hurrah if they wish to play finals footy. In case you missed it, Hawthorn prevailed in a classic last week against the Bombers. As we just mentioned, Essendon are a top fourth quarter team, but the Hawks fought off a strong last minute challenge from the Bombers to reclaim momentum behind some strong play from Ben Stratton and year old standout, James Worpel.
Geelong, well they too know all about fourth quarters. So where does that leave us ahead of the next chapter in this epic rivalry? Those three were huge for the Cats last time out, but the Hawks still walked away with the points. Obviously, those three names must fire if Geelong are to win, but most importantly, they need to contain Tom Mitchell. The Brownlow favourite went un-tagged for most of last weeks victory over the Bombers, but he punished Essendon to the tune of 43 disposals.
Play it safe and take the Hawks at the line. The reigning premiers were taken to the sword by the Cats last week, but prevailed in nail-biting circumstances. They did that a month ago against the Giants, resulting in a narrow two-point loss on the road.
Speaking of away games, this is also a chance for Richmond to prove something to their critics. The Tigers are the favourites for a reason, but their winless interstate record this season is telling for a club that holds the MCG wins record. To keep the controversy going, Port Adelaide also have some issues of their own to take up with the AFL.
The Eagles an extra gear amidst the chaos last week, and with so many big names missing, it was encouraging to see Jamie Cripps, Liam Ryan and Jack Darling combine for 11 goals. The Power, on the other hand, well they will feel confident knowing full well they have one important factor on their side this week: home field advantage. The Adelaide Oval was hardly a fortress for Port last week, but with their spot in the eight potentially on the line, expect the Power to get up for this.
West Coast looked ordinary two weeks ago in Ballarat against North Melbourne, and if Port can control the midfield battle behind Ollie Wines and Chad Wingard, this game should be theirs. The Magpies fought back from points down to give Sydney a real scare in the final term, but the Pies failed to man up in the dying stages of the game to give themselves a chance.
Brisbane, well it was basically the same story. The Lions sputtered and choked during the third quarter, but Brisbane came all the way back to be within one kick of winning the game. That one kick should have gone through the goal posts, but No. It was a tough lesson for both clubs last week, but Collingwood need to regroup in a hurry if they have any hope of finishing inside the Top 2. Throw in the fact Brisbane often turn up to Etihad ready to play, and you have a big chance of an upset, and a little Lions revenge, ahead on Saturday.
The Giants earned their fourth straight victory last weekend, defeating Carlton in blowout fashion. The win sent GWS up to third on the ladder, and with the up and about Crows up next, it looks as though we have a Saturday night blockbuster on our hands. Not to worry, the Giants still enter this game as the favourites, but they do have some injury concerns to address ahead of the weekend. The umpiring blunder let Adelaide off the hook in the Showdown against Port Adelaide, but importantly kept their season alive for one more week.
Having only met weeks ago, the Crows will be out for revenge on their point loss to the Giants back in Round They only need to refer back to last years Qualifying Final win to get a grasp on the right game plan though, as Adelaide pumped the Giants by points last season. With the Giants likely to enter this game minus a few stars, Adelaide should find themselves closer to the eight.
Kicking goals has hardly been a challenge for North Melbourne, but boy were the Roos lucky last week. If Cam Rayner kicks that last second goal in the fourth quarter, this is a totally different conversation, one that potentially involves North missing the finals. Still, here we are, and while only one of these teams actually has something to play for, this could still turn into quite the chippy affair at Etihad on Sunday afternoon.
The last time these teams met was back in Round 14, a game the Roos held on to win by two-points. The Bulldogs were much healthier back then, but they do still feature two of their key game changers in Marcus Bontempelli and Jason Johannisen ahead of this weekend. Both of those guys were rather quiet last time out for the Dogs, so look for Beveridge to come up with some kind of plan to get them more involved this week.
The Demons have quietly been putting in work, winning comfortably against the Suns last week to make it two on the trot. The Swans, meanwhile, escaped by the skin of their teeth against Collingwood last week to keep their season ticking for one more week. This game has the makings of a potential blockbuster, especially given the Swans are close to full strength once again. Sydney have also been quite the formidable team at the MCG this season, taking down the likes of Hawthorn at the home of footy.
Last seasons point blowout was the last meeting between these two teams, a game Melbourne fans would probably rather forget. The Demons look well on their way to the finals, but they are yet to record a win against any of the Top 4 sides this year. Throw in losses to Geelong and Hawthorn, and suddenly this game looks a little beyond the red and the blue. Sydney got back to basics last week, and it looked mighty convincing.
Buddy kicked his usual bag, and the old veteran, Jarrad McVeigh, collected a lazy 26 disposals. Most impressively for the Swans, though, has been defender Aliir Aliir. The year old was dynamite down back against the Pies, and he looks unstoppable on any ball kicked over head at the moment. The Demons look strong right now, but their last two wins have been against a struggling Crows side and the lowly Suns.
Back the Swans this week. Carlton looked lost against the Giants last week, falling behind by four goals in the opening term. The winner of the clash between Richmond and Geelong will all but secure a top four finish, while the loser of the game between Melbourne and St Kilda will likely fall out of finals contention.
These are just three of the big games set to take place this weekend and you can find our complete AFL round 21 tips below. Greater Western Sydney made it two wins on the trot with a professional win over Melbourne and they will start this clash as narrow favourites. This is not a position in which they have thrived this season and they have won only four of their past nine games as away favourites.
It was not pretty, but the Western Bulldogs were able to come away with the four points from their clash with the Brisbane Lions and they have now won four games on the trot. The Bulldogs have won their only game as home underdogs this season and their form at Etihad Stadium has been very strong. Sydney were excellent against Geelong last weekend and since round seven Hawthorn are the only side in the entire competition that they have lost too.
The Swans have still proven to be a losing betting proposition as home favourites this season — they are have won seven of their past 12 games in this scenario — and they are against the line. Fremantle ended their losing run with a quality win over the Gold Coast Suns and they have played some solid football over the past month. The Dockers have actually won three of their past nine games as away underdogs for a small profit and they are against the line in this situation.
Sydney should really win this game, but the line of Geelong have won 19 of their past 20 games against Richmond, but it is the Tigers that will go into this clash as narrow favourites. Richmond have won three of their past four games as away favourites and they have the same record against the line in this scenario.
Patrick Dangerfield will be back in action for Geelong this weekend, but they will be without Joel Selwood after he suffered an ankle injury during the Cats big loss at the hands of the Sydney Swans. Geelong can defy the absence of Selwood and continue their dominance over the Tigers. This is the first time that Brisbane have started a game as favourites this season, but they are deserving of that status following their quality performance against the Western Bulldogs last weekend.
Brisbane have never lost to the Gold Coast Suns as home favourites and their record against their rivals at the Gabba is stellar. The Suns slumped to their fifth loss on the trot when they went down to Fremantle last Saturday night and it really has been another season to forget for the Gold Coast. They have lost their past eight games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is a very poor Brisbane really have played some decent football in the second half of the season and they can score another win over their Queensland rivals.
Adelaide were simply outstanding against Port Adelaide last Sunday afternoon and when they are at their best there are very few teams in the AFL that can match them. Winning away from home has not been an issue for the Crows so far this season and they have won eight of their past 11 games as away favourites, while they are against the line in this scenario. Essendon did not make it look easy, but they came from behind late to beat Carlton and they are back in the top eight.
The Bombers have won seven of their past nine games as home underdogs for a big profit and they are a most impressive against the line in this scenario. This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash from a betting perspective. West Coast had their chances against St Kilda last weekend, but they lack composure at key moments and that loss could cost them badly in a few weeks time.
The Eagles have won only six of their past ten games as home favourites for a loss and they are against the line in this scenario. Carlton really should have come away with the four points from their clash against Essendon last weekend and it will be interesting to see how they back-up this weekend. The Blues have lost seven games on the trot, but they have generally performed better than that record suggests and they have covered the line in five of their past eight games as away underdogs.
The line of The Demons were fairly poor against Greater Western Sydney last weekend and their chances of finally returning to finals football really do hang in the balance. Melbourne have won only five of their past ten games as favourites and they are a particularly poor against the line in this scenario. St Kilda showed plenty of character to beat West Coast on Sunday afternoon and keep their finals hopes alive.
The Saints have won only four of their past 11 games as away underdogs, but they are against the line in this situation. There really is very little between these two teams and an extremely close game seems very likely, which means that St Kilda really do appeal with a start of 7.
Hawthorn have won only three of their past seven games as favourites for a clear loss and their record against the line in this scenario is a disastrous North Melbourne wasted plenty of goal-scoring opportunities against Collingwood last weekend and they will go into this clash without Ben Brown.
The Kangaroos have won only three of their past 17 games as underdogs for a clear loss, but they are against the line when being given a start. It is tough to have any faith in Port Adelaide after such a poor performance, but they are on the back of losses so far this season and they rarely produce poor performances back-to-back.
The Power have won six of their past eight games as home favourites for a small loss and they are a middling against the line in this scenario. Collingwood continued their unbeaten run with an impressive victory against North Melbourne and they really can produce some quality football on their day.
The Magpies have won three of their past six games as away underdogs and they are an incredibly impressive against the line in this situation. It really would not surprise if Collingwood came out and won this clash and they are an excellent bet to beat the line with a start of Western Bulldogs Vs Collingwood Friday 12 August, pm, Etihad Stadium Western Bulldogs 95 - Collingwood 92 The Western Bulldogs showed a great deal of both mental and physical toughness to beat North Melbourne last weekend and they will start this clash with Collingwood as clear favourites.
The Bulldogs continue to defy what is a hefty injury toll to remain an outside chance of sneaking into the top four and this is a game that they really must win for that to be a reality. The Bulldogs have proven to be a safe betting proposition as home favourites this season and they have won seven of their past nine games in this scenario, while they are against the line. Collingwood were unable to build on their solid victory over West Coast and regressed to the form that we have seen the majority of this season with a loss to Richmond.
While Collingwood have struggled from a football standpoint this season, they have proven to be a profitable betting play as away underdogs and they have won three of their past eight games in this situation. Recommended Bet: No Bet Saturday 13 August, pm, The Gabba Brisbane Lions 99 - Carlton 95 The wooden spoon will not be on the line in this clash for the first time in a couple of seasons, but this is still a genuine cellar-dwellers clash between two very out of form teams.
Carlton have not won a game of football for over two months and they were very poor against Carlton last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites. The Lions sunk to a new low with their dreadful effort against Adelaide and there really are very few positives that this club will be able to take from this season.
Brisbane have been a losing betting proposition across every betting metric this season and that is no different as home underdogs — they have lost seven of their past nine games as home underdogs and they are against the line. Carlton have been very poor in recent weeks, but they are still a more talented outfit than this Brisbane Lions side and the Blues really should be able to return to winning form.
Hawthorn produced their poorest performance in weeks to go down to Melbourne and they now need to win this clash to stay on top of the AFL ladder. It is no secret that Hawthorn have not suffered back-to-back losses in a number of seasons and they have won 19 out of their past 25 games as favourites, but they are a very poor when giving away a start. The Kangaroos have generally struggled as underdogs this season and have won just two of their past eight games in this scenario, but they have been a positive betting play against the line with a start.
It is very rare that Hawthorn produce two poor performances in a row and I fancy them to come out firing against North Melbourne this weekend. The Greater Western Sydney Giants got the job done against the Gold Coast Suns to make it four wins on the trot, but they did not make it look easy. In saying that, they will still start this game as clear favourites and they may never have a better chance to record their first ever victory over the West Coast Eagles.
GWS have won six of their past seven games as home favourites and most impressively have an identical record against the line in this scenario. Their struggles away from home this weekend have been well documented and they have won just one of their past four games as away underdogs, while they have an identical record against the line. Greater Western Sydney look very well-placed to beat West Coast for the first time ever and should comfortably cover the line of Sydney made it three wins in a row with a very comfortable victory over Port Adelaide last weekend, but they may not have it their own way against St Kilda.
The Swans have won only six of their nine games as away favourites this season for a loss, but they have proven to be profitable against the line in this scenario. St Kilda have actually proven to be a very profitable betting team this season and they are as home underdogs for a big profit, while they are against the line. The Saints still have a slim chance of playing finals football and they will be pumped up for what they will see as a winnable game.
This game should be much closer than the current betting market suggests and St Kilda are a great bet at the line with a start of It was easily the worst performance that Port Adelaide have produced in a number of seasons and they will still start this clash as clear favourites. Favourtism has actually proven to be a positive for the Power this season and they have won six of their seven games as home favourites, while they are against the line in this scenario.
Melbourne produced one of their best performances in a number of seasons to beat Hawthorn last weekend and they are sure to take a great deal of confidence from that victory. In saying that, the Demons have struggled somewhat on the road this season and they have won only two of their past eight games as away underdogs, while they are on the back of a win. I expect Port Adelaide to bounce back in a big way this weekend and the line of It is fair to say that this very young Bombers side has not been disgraced this season, but they have become fairly noncompetitive in recent weeks and it is fair to say that they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.
Essendon have won just one of their past nine games as home underdogs, but they are a credible against the line in this situation.
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