Some tiny yards have tasted success defying huge Guineas betting odds. French trained fillies have a great record in this race winning it three times since Newmarket has staged the Guineas since its inception in and the race is traditionally staged on the last Sunday in April or the first one in May.
It receives substantial TV coverage on both mainstream channels, specialist ones such as Racing TV and can, of course, you can watch the race streamed via major bookmakers such as William Hill and Unibet. How to Bet on the Guineas Any Guineas betting tips during the winter months are basically the progress reports on the fillies, which turn three on January 1st and filter through the racing press. As with the Guineas this race often has big fields and they can split into two during the 96 seconds this contest is normally run in.
Overall fillies drawn low have had better results in the race in recent times. Unlike the Guineas the historical stats indicate the most likely winner in will have previous won two or three times. However, whilst the boys in blue have saddled the winner of this on three occasions, they are yet to do so with a homebred, with Mark of Esteem, Dawn Approach, and Island Sands all having been purchased out of other yards prior to their wins.
That may however all be about to change in Backed as though defeat was out of the question on debut in a hot Sandown maiden last June, this son of Oasis Dream duly hosed up — and has continued to comfortably see off the opposition in four starts since. Hugely impressive in recording the Group 1 double of the National Stakes and Dewhurst Stakes as a two year old, he ended the season as the highest rated juvenile in training.
As is often the case with these brilliant youngsters, the question was whether he would prove as good at three. Native Trail has answered that query in pretty emphatic style on his only start so far this season, when slamming the field in the Craven Stakes over this course and distance.
Backers may have to sweat a little with this one, as he does hit a flat spot in his races, but once he finds top gear he is mighty tough to stop. If, for whatever reason, Native Trail proves not to be all that he is cracked up to be, Godolphin may still hit the target, as it is their second string Coroebus who is rated the next most likely winner. Showing excellent acceleration when landing the Autumn Stakes over this course and distance in October, he is a smoother traveller than Native Trail and may well prove dangerous if stealing a march as they come out of the dip.
A perfect three from three at two, the mount of Ryan Moore showed blistering acceleration in landing his first two starts, before putting in a slightly more workmanlike display in winning the Vertem Futurity at Doncaster. Going for a handler who knows better than anyone what it takes to win this, he merits the utmost respect.
Four from six in his juvenile campaign, in common with Native Trail this one scored twice in Group 1 company, and impressively so too in claiming top spot in the Prix Morny and Middle Park Stakes. Each of those races did come over 6f, but he handled 7f well enough when scoring first time up in the Greenham Stakes this season. A strongly run race at a mile poses a different question, but if getting the trip, his finishing burst may well see him at least hit the frame. Going in the same colours as carried to victory by Poetic Flare in this race 12 months ago, this one was twice very unlucky in Group company last season, and looks to have trained on well judging by an impressive success over 1m2f at Leopardstown last time out.
That may or may not prove to be a disadvantage, but on watered ground — as will be the case here — low has often been the place to be. Boasting a strong Galileo influence on both sides of his pedigree, he looked a horse full of potential last term, whilst his ability to stay further than this ought to be in his favour in what is always a true test at the trip.
With seven wins in the past 10 years, the Irish raiders have dominated this contest in recent times, but will that pattern continue this year?
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