Flexi betting is a feature that is most commonly applied to race betting TAB Sportsbet supports flexi betting on sports multis as well. It enables you to increase your selections on an exotic bet without increasing your outlay. Flexi betting allows you to take a Trifecta, First 4 or Quaddie with multiple combinations for a modest, fixed spend amount.
It works as follows: Choose the amount you wish to bet. The number of selections you include in your bet will not impact your total. Select the correct placings for a Trifecta, First 4 or Quaddie. For example, suppose you wish to box 5 horses in a Trifecta. The bookmaker will calculate the bet percentage. By researching over , gallops races, it was revealed that: For the win: 50 per cent of runners that finish first in a trifecta had run first, second or third at their last start.
For third: Over 75 per cent of runners that finish third in trifectas ran first to eighth at their last start. There are also other lessons from this research, namely: Runners that won or placed at their last start are good bets for the win, while unplaced runners are best included for second or third.
Whereas a runner that finishes fifth or worse at its last start is likely to perform worse next time. Another simple way of determining whether one runner is better than another is simply to add its last four finish positions together.
Excellent standout runners have scores of 10 or less but are hard to find. Good runners to include in trifectas are those whose form figures total 15 or less. If looking for a bit of value look for runners for second and third whose form figures total between 16 and Very poor runners are those whose form figures total more than Line the place percentages up in order.
For the win: Runners with a place ranking of one to six account for nearly 75 per cent of all winners. For second: Runners with a place ranking of one to seven account for 78 per cent of all second placegetters. For third: Runners with a place ranking of one to eight account for 81 per cent of all third placegetters. Runners whose form figures show improvement for example are superior to runners whose form figures are worsening, like Runners whose form figures show continued improvement have double the chance of winning of runners whose form figures show a consistent decline.
Include as standouts runners that have some improvement in their form figures over the last four starts and especially over the last two. Exclude runners that show a constant decline. You can also use form figures to decide if a race is a good trifecta race or not. Add up all the form figures for all the runners in a race. Divide the result by the number of starters. If the result is 23 points or more leave the race alone, it is a poor one and may be difficult for you to get the trifecta.
Now, these statistics are interesting. Don Scott was always quick to point out that traditional straight box bets were not, in the long run, a profitable way to bet the trifecta.
FOREX TRADING SIGNALS
Not every leg will have a Winx. Often there is one race, the anchor leg, in which you can confidently pick the winner without including other horses. Remember though. If there is a short priced favourite , every other punter will include that horse in their combinations. This will reduce the potential payout.
Skinny leg Not as extreme as the anchor leg, a skinny leg is when you select only a small number of horses in that leg, relative to the number of selections in other legs. There are valid reasons for including a skinny leg. It may be your best bet of the day. Or you believe there are only a couple real chances. The main advantage is that you reduce the overall bet commitment. Of course the disadvantage is the risk of leaving out the potential winner of that leg.
Field leg Another strategy is to take the entire field in one or more of the legs, and concentrate on finding the winners of the other legs. Look for legs with fewer runners because you can take the field in these races without excessively increasing cost. One version of this strategy is to take the field in the final leg. It usually means you must go skinny in the first 3 legs to minimise cost, but if you have all possible chances in the last, it can be quite an exciting experience! Another variety is to take the field in two legs, and go one or two out in the other two legs.
This can cost a bit but you can use flexi-betting to reduce the outlay. Money leg As tempting as it is, the problem with including favourites is that the payout will be small, often too small to justify the total outlay. In order to ensure a profit on the quadrella, you must try to find some value selections. The leg that ensures a decent payout. Make sure you include selections that will lead to a profitable return. Funnel approach Another way to bet the quadrella is to use the funnel approach.
Select many horses in the first leg, around 5 to 10 horses. Use less in the second leg, perhaps 3 — 6 horses. In the third, only one or two selections. In the final leg, select only one horse. This strategy should keep you alive at least for the third leg and with luck, possibly into the final leg. How exciting to have a live chance in the last leg of the quaddie! The potential payout on your final leg winner is significantly larger than if you were to bet on the horse in isolation.
Real world example of the funnel approach As an example, Villagebet was very confident in the last two legs of the Caulfield quaddie on April 27th , so decided to use the funnel approach. The play was 5 horses in leg 1, 3 in leg 2, and singles in the 3rd and final legs.
Only 15 combinations to bet. The first two legs were won by horses Prince of Sussex and Mr Quickie that were not top selections but were included in the funnel. The best bet Widgee Turf won the 3rd to provide a live chance in the last. Unfortunately, the single selection Miss Leonidas was collared by the favourite Iconoclasm in the last leg, finishing 3rd.
Close but no cigar. However, it demonstrated the value of using approaches that help you stay alive until the final leg, even if you have only one final live pick. You must be in it to win it. Bracketed play to bet the quadrella A bracketed play utilises the quadrella format from more than 3 decades ago.
Prior to , the quadrella was a very different beast and incorporated a bracketing system to limit the number of combinations. What are true odds? Implied odds and true odds are important in determining if you are making a bet that has good value.
You can use our odds calculator above to calculate the implied odds of a given bet as long as you know the odds of the bet. Implied odds are the conversion of a sportsbooks offered odds into an implied win probability. A spread bet in football is normally offered at on both sides of the bet. This gives both outcomes a win probability of The implied probability of this spread bet winning would be Let's use the above bet of for both outcomes on a NFL spread bet.
We know that both outcomes have an implied probability of If that same outcome has a true probability of This seems easy, but how do you find true odds? Essentially, true odds are subjective. However, one person can calculate true probability by using predictive models. This is where handicapping comes into play. Example Game: Tennessee Titans vs. Bills game at even odds. By using our odds calculator, you can calculate the implied probability of either team winning.
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