The first is betting against the spread, where you have to decide if a team will win or lose by a certain amount of points. The second is betting on the moneyline, where you are betting on which team will win the game, irrespective of the score. This is popular for several reasons: first, you can watch a game without sweating about which team wins.
So, if you love your favorite football team, but think they will struggle to score points in an upcoming game, you can bet on the under, without actually betting against your favorite team and feeling like a bad fan. Another reason people like totals betting odds is that it can be fun to root for points. Everyone can go home a winner if the over hits. The over-under, or total, is That means if you bet the over and the final score is , you would win the bet.
If you bet the under and the final score was , you would lose the bet. In this particular game, you would make the same amount of money betting on the over or the under. That usually means that more people are betting on one number so the bookmaker is spreading the risk by giving you a better number for the less popular bet.
But, you can bet on the over at or the under at That means you would make slightly more money betting on the over, likely because more bettors are jumping on the Under for this particular game. Moneyline odds, also known as American odds, are numbers that are at least three digits long, that have a plus or minus symbol in front of them. So, the Moneyline odds here are , but what if you want to convert them to Decimal odds? You convert the moneyline odds by removing the minus symbol from the moneyline number, divide by that number, then add one.
So, here we would be dividing by to make 0. Firstly, it goes without saying that the over-unders in NBA games are significantly higher than college basketball. A lower scoring sport like football will sometimes have more variance on the payout between the over and under.
If the totals line was 8, for example, the outcome of the game can match the line precisely. If that happens all totals bets are a push and everyone gets their money back. The more you study and take into consideration, the more informed your decisions will be. You want to reduce emotion and maximize logic.
Use our top Totals betting strategy tips to give yourself an edge on your next wagers: Analyze both teams independently first. Are they offensive or defensive? Do they have power hitters that guarantee more runs or a pitcher that makes it impossible for their opponents to score? Consider where they are playing. Are they at home or on the road? Is the environment much different than they are used to? Will weather play a factor? If so, how? Look for hard statistical data to use as evidence, the more recent the better.
An example of this are teams that have earned a reputation for high scoring. It may actually be the case that they put up a lot of points in a few big games but actually score an average amount when you look at all their games as a whole. You also want to take your research to deeper levels in order to think about outcomes from the perspective of the professional oddsmakers.
This is just good practice and will make you a better bettor in the long term. For example, in a hockey game, instead of just seeing how often the two teams score, consider how many shots on goal they generate on the road or at home. Do they generate most of the shots at 5v5 or on the powerplay? If you spot an edge here, compare it to how many penalty minutes the other team takes on average per game. Is there something circumstantial about the game at hand that would factor into play, coaching, or strategy?
Are there playoff implications for the teams? Go as deep as your creativity and critical thinking can take you. Follow these tips to get your studies started: Start with the weather and the stadium first. Each building is different and so are the elements.
A dry sunny day might see fly balls carry farther which leads to more scoring. As well, certain pitchers get a larger majority of their outs from pop flies. On a given day that could mean trouble. From a defensive perspective, you might find Under bet opportunities when both teams have really strong starting pitchers, a deep bullpen, or a particularly powerful infield. Conversely, if both rosters are stacked with power hitters it might make betting the Over more appealing.
Does the manager of one team like the hit-and-run? Does he tell his guys to take risks and attempt to steal a lot bases? All of the small factors add up to be really important so it is imperative that you gather all the information possible and use it to make an informed decision.
Make sure you check out our daily MLB best bets to get expert baseball picks for free. Find out if your state has legalized sports betting on MLB before you go forward with betting. You need to think about how a team likes to run their offense as well as the opponents likely defensive tactics. Here are some of the key factors we look for when betting NFL football totals: A team that relies heavily on their passing game could face difficulties in a cold, wet, windy day.
Consider as well how a team is likely to choose their play-calling depending on if they are winning or losing. Are they likely to be trailing and in need of some quick scoring or are they more likely to have a lead late in the game and want to kill the clock by running the ball on most plays? Next, go on to consider an exaggerated outcome in one direction and ask yourself how much that would impact the quarter by quarter scoring. With these three scenarios in mind, what outcomes do you foresee?
Write down those answers and then go back to your original research regarding teams, locations, and weather. You might find yourself hooting and hollering in glee or ripping your hair out in a fit of rage. Unlike other sports, the ending of basketball games, even if they are not particularly close in score, can have huge fluctuations in point total outcome.
Be prepared to see your whole wager come down to garbage-time free throws or layups that mean nothing in terms of game victory yet can mean everything to your bet. You want to find teams who have consistently been finishing on the same side of the line. Calculate what the average point totals were in those games. This data is available on several websites.
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